Showing posts with label dollar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label dollar. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

How RBI steps to check Re fall impact you


Collateral Damage
Team Money Today       Edition: September 2013

The fallout of the rupee slide is going to hurt you if you are looking to buy a property, invest overseas, send your child to a foreign university or buy gold 

The fallout of the rupee slide is going to hurt you if you are looking to buy a property, invest overseas, send your child to a foreign university or buy gold. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in order to stall the rupee slide, has prohibited purchase of real estate by Indians in overseas markets, lowered the ceiling on outward remittance from $200,000 to $75,000 a year and increased the import tax on gold from 8% to 10%.

These steps, though believed to be short-term measures, will deprive investors of diversification opportunities overseas.

Domestic investors, who have seen both their fixed income and equity investment in India fall in value, might have been exploring alternative investment opportunities overseas. The recent move may spoil the party for some if not all investors.

Indian residents could earlier purchase real estate, invest in equities or debt or any other asset worth $200,000 annually outside India without prior approval of the RBI. That ceiling has now been reduced to $75,000 a year. At Rs 60 a dollar, the total outward remittance limit now stands at Rs 45 lakh.

RBI data show resident individuals remitted $1.2 billion from India in 2012-13. Out of this, $237 million was invested in foreign equities and debt securities and $77 million in real estate. Students studying abroad remitted $124 million.

For many high net worth individuals (HNIs), overseas real estate offers attractive investment options at cheaper valuations. According to Jones Lang LaSalle India, the US and the UK are the most favoured destination for Indians looking to buy property abroad. Other favourites include Singapore, Malaysia and Dubai.

"At present, the options available in the international property market offer very attractive rental yields and valuations, making the proposition of investing in property abroad a potentially lucrative one. However, the new restrictions will be a dampener for Indian investors who were considering this route," says Om Ahuja, chief executive officer, residential services, Jones Lang LaSalle India.

Parents who want to send more than one child to foreign universities for education may also find it tough to send money abroad given the ceiling of $75,000 a year. Typically, US universities charge on an average $30,000-35,000 a year for undergraduate courses.

However, Himanshu Kohli, co-founder, Client Associate, a private wealth management company, says in case one has exceeded the $75,000 ceiling, one can seek the RBI's approval for further remittances. According to experts, the move may impact a small number of individuals as $75,000 a year is a big amount and very few people will be able to exhaust this limit.

"It is just a precautionary measure. It will barely have an impact on the rupee movement as very few individuals would be exhausting the limit of $200,000," says Suresh Sadogopan of Ladder7 Financial Advisories.

In another move to curb the rupee fall, the RBI has increased the import duty on gold from 8% to 10%. The central bank has also banned import of gold coins and medallions. Apart from these, any approved agency importing gold should ensure that at least 20% of the imported metal is used for exports.

These moves have pushed up gold prices. The precious metal breached Rs 30,000 per 10 gm on 16 August, 2013 in domestic markets. It was trading below Rs 26,000 on 16 April. International gold prices moved from $1,386 per ounce on April 16 to 1,321 on August 13. Meanwhile, gold imports to India jumped to 338 tonnes in the April-June 2013 period against 153 tonnes a year ago.


 

Friday, September 20, 2013

Rupee drops further to 62.60 per dollar after RBI rate hike




              Joel Rebello    live Mint :Fri, Sep 20 2013. 12 17 PM IST

RBI rate hike prompts fears that the measure will lead to slower inflow of funds from foreign portfolio investors

Mumbai: The Indian rupee weakened against the dollar following Raghuram Rajan’s decision to raise its repo rate, or the rate at which the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) lends to banks, by 25 basis points (bps) to 7.5% in its maiden monetary policy review, prompting fears that the measure will lead to slower inflow of funds from foreign portfolio investors.
The Indian currency, which had opened lower, fell further following RBI announcement. At 11.45am, the rupee was trading at 62.39, down 0.97% from the previous close of 61.7750. It opened at 62.0450 and touched a high and a low of 61.8850 and 62.60, respectively.
Aman Mahna, forex dealer at FirstRand Bank Ltd, said dealers adjusted their dollar positions noting the fall in the local stock market.
“Overall I think this policy is positive for the rupee, because RBI is going by fundamentals. They have clearly said that rupee cannot be ignored and inflation is a priority which is good for the economy in the long run,” Mahna said.
On Friday, in its mid-quarter policy review, RBI reduced the rate on borrowing from the so-called marginal standing facility, an RBI lending window for banks, by 75 basis points to 9.5%. The rate had been raised by 2 percentage points in July.
RBI also reduced the daily balance limit for banks for the purpose of maintaining the cash reserve ratio (CRR), or the portion of deposits banks need to park with the apex bank, to 95% from 99%.
Mahna said he expects the rupee not to weaken much below 63 per dollar in the short term. “This is a short-term move. It may bounce back to 61.50 per dollar in the next few days,” Mahna said.
Soon after the RBI announcement, BSE’s benchmark Sensex fell 1.67% to 20,301.49 points. The National Stock Exchange’s Nifty also fell by 1.53% to 6,022.10 points.
The BSE Bankex dropped 2.88% to 12,331.62 points shortly after the announcement from 12,740.50 points before the announcement.

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

Bloodbath on D-Street, rupee butchered; what next?


Markets and Macros

Moneycontrol :Aug 27, 2013, 12.32 PM IST
Barring health and IT sector indices, all others are trading below their 200 DMA. Bank Nifty took the biggest hit with private banking space getting smashed out of shape.

While the 30-share benchmark cracked nearly 500 points, the beleaguered Indian rupee visited yet another life-low of 65.87 per dollar. Rupee has fallen nearly 4 percent in the last three sessions. Barring health and IT sector indices, all others are trading below their 200 DMA.

Bank Nifty took the biggest hit with private banking space getting smashed out of shape. HDFC twins cracked over 6 and 7 percent, respectively. Axis Bank has fallen 4.8 percent and ICICI Bank is trading down close to 3 percent. The advance decline ratio on the NSE stands at 1:4.

Reacting to the bloodbath, Dilip Bhat of Prabhudhar Lilladher says the fear of losing out is very real and is being aggravated by withdrawal of FIIs. The way HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank have come off shows FIIs are selling in this market. According to him, market in September and October will remain exteremly volatile. "5000 on the Nifty is within the striking distance and can happen in September."

The sharp fall belies the Finance Minister's belief that the Indian market is reacting to an emerging market phenomenon. Siddharth Bhamre of Ange Broking saif FIIs are aggressively shorting the index and there is more in the offiing.

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