Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Ratan Tata Part of Hallowed Think Tank

Ratan Tata Part of Hallowed Think Tank

 Forbes India : Oct 18, 2013 

In his new role as an elder statesman, Ratan Tata’s next steps lead him to the international stage. The board of trustees at Carnegie Endowment, a network of policy research centres, has inducted the former Tata group chairman into their group. 

The think tank, which is over a century old, has 26 prominent people from the world of business and academia on its board. They include former UN secretary general Kofi Annan, Citigroup global banking head Raymond McGuire and the presidents of Princeton University and the Massuchusetts Institute of Technology. The only other Indian trustee is Bharti group Chairman Sunil Mittal. 

Carnegie President Jessica Mathews says the institute is establishing a South Asia Centre in New Delhi. The mission is to advance the cause of peace through analysis and development of fresh policy ideas as well as direct engagement and collaboration with decision makers in government, business, and civil society. Tata is expected to help with this. 

It has been a year since the other venerable US non-profit organisation Brookings set up shop in India. Former Shell India chief Vikram Mehta heads Brookings India. Former deputy governor of the RBI Subir Gokarn is director of research.

Rajan turns Re from a pariah to world's favourite currency

Investors selling dollars to buy rupees earned 10 per cent since Rajan took over on September 4, the most among 44 currencies tracked by Bloomberg and a turnaround from a 2.8 per cent third-quarter loss.
By Bloomberg | 16 Oct, 2013, 07.06AM 

SINGAPORE: Reserve Bank of India governor Raghuram Rajan has turned therupee from a pariah to the world's favourite currency after just a month in office as he intensifies efforts to quell inflation and lure capital.

Investors selling dollars to buy rupees earned 10 per cent since Rajan took over on September 4, the most among 44 currencies tracked by Bloomberg and a turnaround from a 2.8 per cent third-quarter loss.

Options betting on one-month implied volatility shows investors becoming more confident in the rupee than for any currency in Asia or the BRIC nations, which also include Brazil, Russia and China. "We no longer have a crisis of confidence," Geoffrey Kendrick, the Hong Kong-based head of Asian currency and rates strategy at Morgan Stanley, said in a phone interview. "The new RBI governor has market credibility. For now, he's saying all the right things."

The rupee sank to an all-time low in August after India's current account deficit grew to a record $88 billion in the fiscal year ended March 2013, threatening to push up inflation in a nation that imports 80 per cent of its oil.

Rajan, 50, has pledged to do whatever it takes to stabilise the currency. Among his first acts, Rajan unexpectedly raised the benchmark interest rate last month by a quarter-point to 7.5 per cent.

The rate boost helped drive the rupee to 61.535 per dollar as of 9:20 am in London, an 11 per cent advance from the low of 68.845 on August 28. In the five days after Rajan took office, the currency strengthened a total of 6.9 per cent, more than in any month since January 2012, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Deutsche Bank AG and Citigroup, the world's two biggest foreign exchange traders, recommend buying the rupee, in the forwards market and by selling the Singapore dollar. Morgan Stanley's Kendrick forecasts the rupee will rally to 58 per US dollar in coming months.

Rajan, a former International Monetary Fund chief economist credited with predicting the 2008 global financial crisis, also announced a window for banks to raise new foreign-denominated deposits and debt at a cheaper rate to boost dollar supply, a move that already helped attract $5.6 billion of inflows, he said on October 4 in Raipur.

The new governor "has a lot of proven expertise in the market," Ron Raychaudhuri, a Londonbased fixed-income manager at Lombard Odier Investment Management, which oversees $43 billion, said in an October 11 phone interview. "We view him as very market savvy.

The steps he has taken have done a considerable amount to stabilise the rupee."Rupee carry trades funded in dollars returned 7.5 per cent from July to September 2012, the last quarter where the strategy beat gains for all 44 major currencies tracked by Bloomberg. In carry trades, investors borrow where interest rates are low to invest in assets offering higher yields.

India's 10-year government bonds yield 8.64 per cent, compared with 2.72 per cent for US Treasuries, 0.67 per cent for Japanese debt and 1.89 per cent for German bunds. Traders selling dollars to buy the Brazilian real had the secondbest returns after rupee investors since September 4, with a 9.2 per cent gain as of Monday, data compiled byBloomberg show. Carry trades buying the New Zealand dollar received 6.1 per cent, while the Polish zloty gave a 5.2 per cent return.

Emerging market assets, including the rupee were given a boost September 18 whenFederal Reserve chairman Ben S Bernanke surprised markets by announcing the central bank wouldn't yet cut the bond purchases it uses to pump money into the economy.

The RBI is limited in what else it can do to strengthen the rupee on concern it will damp growth in Asia's third-biggest economy, according to BNP Paribas Investment Partners, which manages about $650 billion. "Rajan is trying to ring-fence the rupee problem and the actions seem fairly successful so far," Chia Woon Khien, a Singapore-based strategist at BNP, said in a phone interview on October 10.

"He doesn't want further rupee strength because the economy is weak." The IMF cut its estimate last week for India's growth for the year through March 2014 to 3.8 per cent from 5.6 per cent, citing weaker manufacturing and monetary tightening. Standard & Poor's said last month there's a more than one-inthree chance India will lose its BBB- investment grade rating within two years.

CBI’s case against KM Birla in Coalgate: all you need to know

Kumar Mangalam Birla.
by FP Staff Oct 16, 2013


Shares of Aditya Birla Group companies fell to a three-month low on Tuesday after the Central Bureau of Investigation registered a case against Group Chairman Kumar Mangalam Birla for alleged irregularities in allocation of coal mining rights in 2005.
The charges relate to criminal conspiracy and corruption in the allocation of a captive coal block in 2005 in Orissa, which was primarily meant for public sector firms. The investigation agency has alleged that  the block was allocated to Neyveli Lignite and Mahanadi Coalfields (both PSUs) in 2005 but sometime in the middle of the year Birla met Parekh after which the earlier decision of the screening committee was overturned and Hindalco was also accommodated along with the two.
CBI has booked Birla as a representative of AV Birla Group and its group company, aluminium maker Hindalco.
The CBI claims Hindalco did not meet the criteria for being awarded a mining lease but the  AV Birla Group, on its part, has strongly denied the charges stating that every process stipulated under the coal allocation policy by the government were followed.
“This relates to media reports on an FIR naming Hindalco and our chairman on the coal issue. Apparently, this seems to be part of a larger case entailing coal allocation to companies, and being one of the companies, we are being investigated also. We wish to state unambiguously that we have followed every process required for allocation of coal completely, as stipulated by the government policy,”  group company Hindalco said in a  statement.
The denial comes after shares of Hindalco fell about 5 percent in morning trade on Tuesday, while stocks of other group companies likeIdea Cellular and AB Nuvo were also impacted.
Hindalco Industries’ scrip had tanked 4.97 percent to Rs 105.10, whileAditya Birla Nuvo had fallen by 4.16 percent to Rs 1,209.90 and Idea Cellular lost 1.35 per cent to Rs 182.45 on the BSE. Among others, shares of Grasim Industries Ltd fell by 1.18 per cent, while Aditya Birla Chemicals was down 1.42 per cent and Aditya Birla Money shed 3.71 percent.
According to reports, the CBI has discovered that Birla had met former coal secretary P C Parekh, to push for the allocation of the Talabira II coal block in Odisha’s Jharsuguda district in the second half of 2005.
The Talabira II coal block has reserves of about 153 million tonne. It was allotted to Hindalco, along with the other two PSU, for captive power production of 900 MW for its greenfield aluminium project in Orissa. Talabira II is crucial for Hindalco’s Aditya Aluminium, which has investments in a 4.2 million tonnes bauxite mine, 1.5 million tonnes alumina refinery and a 359,000 tonne smelter.
“CBI has alleged Birla’s company was accommodated in the said coal block, though the provisions allowed allocation only to public-sector companies. The screening committee’s recommendations were overturned, abusing the official position, to give favours to Hindalco,”the Business Standard reported, quoting a senior CBI official.
Hindalco managing director Debu Bhattacharya however clarified in a statement that the application for the Talabira II mine (for which CBI filed the FIR) was made in 1996 by Indal, the Indian subsidiary of Alcan, the Canadian aluminium major. Indal was acquired by Hindalco in 2000, which subsequently pursued the matter.
“The reality of the matter is very different from what has been projected… The actual allocation of the mine was done in November 2005, which is nine years after the first application was made,” said Bhattacharya, adding that Hindalco made several representations to the government but only through “formal channels”.
“To imply that our chairman, Kumar Mangalam Birla, managed to overturn the decision of the screening committee is preposterous. The truth of the matter is that the Talabira II and III mines together have been finally allotted jointly to Mahanadi Coal Fields and Neyveli Lignite, both public sector undertakings, with Hindalco having only a 15% stake in the joint venture,” said Bhattacharya.
The project for which this mine was allocated  is ready to be commissioned later this month,  while the clearances to permit mining have not been received so far, he added.
Apart from Hindalco, an FIR has been filed against government-ownedNational Aluminium Company Ltd (Nalco), too. But Nalco said, through a notification to BSE, that it had no information about any FIR filed against the company on allocation of the Utkal-E coal block in Odisha.
The CBI has so far lodged 14 cases against individuals and firms including other high profile industrialists like Naveen Jindal and his company JSPL, Kumaramangalam Birla, Congress MP Vijay Darda and his brother Rajendra Darda, JLD Yavatmal Energy Limited, AMR Iron & Steel Private Limited, Vini Iron & Steel Udyog among others.
A Standing Committee report has suggested that allocation of all coal blocks between 1993 and 2008 was unlawful, seeking licenses of those mines where production hadn’t started to be cancelled, in effect indicting both the NDA and UPA regimes.


Mighty October : Your Hate Makes me UNSTOPPABLE




Your Hate Makes me UNSTOPPABLE