Wednesday, October 5, 2011

What Business Can Learn From Cricket



What Business Can Learn From Cricket

Source:Forbes india:
Abhishek Raghunath, K. RamKumar | Sep 23, 2011
Mahendra Singh Dhoni’s mojo finally took a break. After four years of letting him leap through loops and gifting him more than his share of get-out-of-jail cards it slunk away the moment the Indian team landed on the shores of Old Blighty. 

When you take a hard look at India’s debacle in England you find that there are echoes of it in the world of business. Three companies in the last month — Yahoo, Apple and Research in Motion (makers of Blackberry) — considered giants at one point, are in the news because there are questions if they can continue to be major players in their businesses. Yahoo, because in spite of multiple CEO changes it hasn’t been able to break out of its rut for the past five years; Apple, because Steve Jobs has stepped down as CEO and Research in Motion because it’s fallen way behind Apple and Samsung in the smartphone race.

It would be a challenge to find anyone who would write off these companies as has-beens just as it would be amateurish to write off Team India just yet. Yes, the team has failed but it’s nothing that can’t be fixed. This is just a bad thing that has happened to a good team. 

We’ve put together a team of experts from the fields of human resources, sports and executive coaching to try and understand why a high-performing team loses focus: What happens when your ability to think clearly suffers? What goes through the minds of players in a high-performing team when it’s caught in a spiral of under performance? How are confidence, team work and morale affected and how do leaders grapple with them and turn around the team? Optimum team dynamics is a must as teams and businesses go through natural cycles and phases. 

You have to step back, reassess and adapt; get processes and systems in place and get into quality control mode.

Great teams do not surrender meekly. Look at Sony. The Japanese electronics giant had suffered a series of failures in the first half of the decade before it entered the high definition optical disc format war where its Blu-ray disc went up against HD DVD from Toshiba. 

The war could have been the death knell for Sony but the company triumphed. It came back from the brink when Toshiba admitted defeat and launched its own version of Blu-ray in 2008.

These articles do not analyse the performance of the Indian cricket team. What we have attempted is to delve into the mind of successful coaches and team leaders to understand how to minimise the impact of pitfalls in business. 

Business and cricket are both a test of endurance. In fact, we would argue, business more so because you have to report to work every day and you answer to thousands of shareholders; you are accountable to law, suppliers, vendors and consumers. Businesses need to be on top of their game every day and that is why it’s important to know how to stay on top.Over to the Expert now.

What Business Can Learn From Cricket
Image: Getty Images
CUTTING EDGE (L-R) Andy Roberts, Michael Holding, Colin Croft and Joel Garner were the start in an inexhaustible line of fast bowlers that made sure West Indies dominated cricket for over a decade

HOW TO LAST THE LONG HAUL

by K. RamKumar

Lynch me for saying this: But anybody who imagined the Indian cricket team would dominate the world for a long time had gotten it all wrong. The writing was on the wall for all to see. And there are five rules I can cite using history, business and sport to prove my central hypothesis that there are significant differences between teams that dominate for 10 years as against teams that stay at the top for a short burst.  

Rule 1: Balance Your Resources
Remember Hannibal from Canne 217 B.C.? For 15 years he was considered the greatest military strategist until Scipio Africanus from Rome defeated him at Zama in 202 B.C. Under Hannibal’s leadership, Carthage was a great power. But the Roman Empire outlasted Carthage by 400 years.

Now look at business. There was the decade of Nokia; there was Cisco; and now there’s Apple.  But there are companies that have been around for 50 years. There’s Walmart which doesn’t seem to stop; there’s GE, which, bar a few hiccups, seems to be on a perpetual roll and Toyota that outsells every other car manufacturer.

Take cricket. The great West Indies team we talk of did not get on a roll beginning 1974-75, but 1979 after their World Cup victory that year. The essential difference between that team and the Indian team is that the Indians peaked when its main protagonists had grown old.

Go back now to 1979. Clive Lloyd was the only old person on the team and Andy Roberts the next oldest. In 1979, outstanding new blood came in through Desmond Haynes who replaced Roy Fredricks. A year earlier, they had match winners like Malcolm Marshall and Joel Garner coming in to replace Colin Croft, Vanburn Holder, Kieth Boyce and Wayne Daniel. They had a Rolls-Royce in the form of Micheal Holding at his prime by 24, the King Viv Richards and the destroyer Gordon Greenidge only four years into international cricket. My point is, the Indian team has been making do with the same old faces since 2007. That is why I’ve been saying enjoy being Number One while it lasts.

If I were to break all of these up, you’ll notice a few strands. Great civilisations, companies and teams that dominate for long periods hit their peaks early; have resources to see them through the future and have governance structures in place.

A few words of caution though. Peaking early is good, but of no use if you don’t balance your resources. You must know how to use that to your advantage. For Walmart it is logistics, for Toyota it is quality and for GE it is great leverage of capital. There is something extraordinarily cutting edge about what they created.

It was innovation from the 1940s to 1970s that sustained America and made it the superpower it is today: Highly concentrated, scientific materialistic inventions against academic invention. Every materialistic invention was economically leveraged.

 

But for all these great powers which lasted, they discovered this balance of resources early during their dominance and they had a lot of time left to push it through for years to come.

Rule 2: Team, Teams, Teams
Focussing only on M.S. Dhoni and his captaincy is wrong. He is doing the best with the resources he has. He hasn’t come out and blamed a colleague. He hasn’t said the system has failed him. He isn’t flawless, he’s not played well, or kept wickets well; but he’s held himself well.
This is like the great CEO problem. Rome was not Julius Caesar. People forget Caesar had nothing to do with Rome. Augustus and Hadrian were the ones who crafted the great Roman Empire. They were military generals who called themselves Caesars. The dominance of Rome came from professionalism.

An equivalent in the corporate world is the practicing general manager. They are professionals. You can have the heroic CEO, nothing wrong with it. But in a professional system, you need many heroic CEOs.  The great West Indies cricket team had three: Clive Lloyd followed by Sir Viv Richards and then Richie Richardson. The decline started after Richardson.



You can’t run a one man show. Sure, you can achieve a little, but only for a while. Even when India was at the top, in 2007 we lost a series to Australia in Australia and to Sri Lanka in Sri Lanka in 2008. A large part of our victories were in India. I don’t want to take anything away from the wins. But the wins weren’t thumping. We won because of some unthinkable heroism from individuals. Again, nothing wrong with this. But a great team walks into Carthage and lays Carthage waste. Preventing the Goths from entering Rome is not necessarily the same as walking into Carthage and laying it to waste.

Rule 3: Getting to Say No
The Board of Control for Cricket in India (BCCI) is a money-making machine. But they have to know the trade-offs they’re making? And are they willing to risk it all for a few dollars more?

Look at ICICI. We didn’t know when to stop. Ninety-five percent of our retail asset book was great. But we went and pushed for the last optional 5 percent. The million extra cards we issued, the small ticket personal loan business and over reaching on two wheelers, almost spoilt an otherwise great, retail pioneering effort. In retrospect, I wish we had said no to the optional 5 percent. However, no regrets, there’s no formula here. The fact is we know how to correct it and are doing it with great focus. There is no shame in talking about mistakes. We salute our competition who got the balance correct.

That is what BCCI has to figure out. Which five percent is killing the team? At what point are you getting into the swamp? There’s no formula there. A great management knows when to stop or learns at the right time it’s time to stop, correct course and get the mix right.

Rule 4:  A Well Drilled Pipeline
If you don’t have a pipeline three steps deep, you’re in trouble. This was something I learned early at Hindustan Lever. If you don’t have two people to replace key members in the team, you’re doing something wrong.

To dominate for 20 years, you ought to be able to do what Cricket Australia did two months ago — sack the entire selection committee because the team was underperforming. Why can’t you ask Sachin Tendulkar and Dravid to play domestic tournaments? If bowlers get into the national side after having taken wickets of inconsequential players in domestic leagues and are then pitted in test matches against a Ricky Ponting, it can be intimidating.

Why can’t the BCCI call off the West Indies series next month? Or the inconsequential 5-match one day series in England? Instead, ask everybody to play domestic cricket for the next four months. Australia did that to Ricky Ponting. They made him play for Tasmania. But here R.P. Singh gets parachuted in from Miami where he’s on holiday, and he’s asked to bowl at the Oval. Then he gets the stick for not performing. Unfair! The real issue here is that the BCCI doesn’t know to say no where it matters.

Rule 5:  Stop Whining
When I was 15, I used to run for my school. After losing a race, I went back crying. My teacher, whom I still call Narayana Swamy sir, slapped me and asked me what was I crying about? I said because I lost. He then asked me, “Why do you run?” I replied, because I like to. So he asked me, “Will you stop running tomorrow?” I said, no. He then said, “Stop running the day you don’t like to run, not because you won or lost.” That is a lesson I have never forgotten.

Every crisis holds the context to change. You can’t change at the height of success, whether in cricket, business or life.

(The author is Executive Director on the board of ICICI Bank. He is responsible for HR, Customer Service and Operations) 

This article appeared in Forbes India Magazine dated 07 October, 2011

Indian Banks: Healthy, But Precarious






Source :Forbes India: Pravin Palande : Oct 4, 2011


Indian banks have brought bad loans down to 2.4 percent over 10 years, but now they need to be careful



The past three months have been tough for Indian banking.

 High interest rates and threats of a global recession have taken their toll on bank stocks. The NSE banking index fell 15 percent compared with the Nifty’s 11 percent slide in the past three months. Indian banks, ironically, have never been in a better state of health in the past 10 years.

A recent study by Boston Consulting Group (BCG) found that bad loans fell from a peak of 11.4 percent in 2001 to just 2.4 percent in 2010, showing the efficiency of management of capital.





 In fact, Indian banks have been performing better in controlling defaults with only 0.6 percent of loans handed out last year turning sticky, compared to 1 percent in the US and China. Indian banks also have a cost-to-income ratio of 47 percent, which is lower than Germany, France and the US. 
mg_57182_npa_banking_280x210.jpg

The main reason for the robustness was the banks’ focus on return on investment, cost-to-income ratios and the efficient use of technology. BCG expects that by 2025 the Indian banking sector will be the third largest in the world on assets, behind China and the US.

But now stress signals are showing up. The Reserve Bank of India expects non-performing assets (NPA) to inch up to 2.9 percent during 2011. IDFC Securities, a broking firm, recently said at least 17 percent of loans are stressed and some could go bad.



 Total bank credit to the industrial sector stands at about Rs. 17,60,600 crore.

“Credit to power and infrastructure sectors has grown 40 percent in the past four years and the proportion of the same has gone up to 14 percent in terms of total credit offtake, which has created additional risks to the banking segment,” says Ajay Parmar, head of institutional research at Emkay Global.

State-owned banks have a higher allocation to small industries, which could get hurt early if there is an industrial slowdown. 



Additionally, the central bank’s battle with persistent inflation is raising the cost of money, pressuring net interest margins that are expected to continue to narrow for at least another two years.

But no one is pressing the panic button yet because there is no dearth of liquidity in the system. Says Rajeev Thakkar, CEO, Parag Parikh Financial Advisory Services, “If margins are high then NPAs are not a cause for concern... There is a difficulty in the system but we are certainly not into recessionary territory.” 


Rahul is going to be a new leader, says Pranab

Union Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee participates in “Maha Ashtami” puja of goddess Durga at his ancestral home in Miriti, Birbhum district of West Bengal, on Tuesday.


Union Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee participates
 in “Maha Ashtami” puja of goddess Durga
 at his ancestral home in Miriti, Birbhum district of West Bengal,
 on Tuesday.






Source :The Hindu :PTI :MIRITI (WEST BENGAL), October 5, 2011
Photo    : PTI



Rahul Gandhi is going to be a “new leader” of the Congress, Union Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said on Tuesday.

“So far as the Congress is concerned, the party is always having a new leadership. Rahul Gandhi is going to be a new leader,” he told journalists here, replying to a question whether it would follow the BJP in focussing on new faces as future leaders.

“What the BJP is doing is their internal matter,” the senior Congress leader said, adding he would not like to comment on the internal problems of that party involving L K Advani or anyone else.

Mr. Mukherjee's statement is considered significant given that Congress leaders have hailed Mr. Gandhi as the party's future leader and potential Prime Minister.

As for the BJP's record in the recent Assembly elections in various States, Mr. Mukherjee asked: “What is their performance? In the last elections, they had fought in more than 725 seats. How many have they won? Let us see their performance in the coming elections.”
Mr. Mukherjee told NDTV at his ancestral home that the differences between him and Home Minister P. Chidambaram were a “closed chapter,” and asserted that the government “is in command of things.”

“Myself and Mr Chidambaram addressed the media [following the controversy over the Finance Ministry's office memorandum to the Prime Minister's Office on the 2G spectrum issue] and the chapter is closed and he [Chidambaram] admitted it. So there is no question......”

Mr. Mukherjee admitted that in a multiparty political system, there could be “differences sometimes” in the party.

He was asked whether the “public making up” between him and Mr. Chidambaram signalled the end of the rift.

To a question about the impression that there were “serious cracks” in the government and it was a “house divided” that would collapse anytime, the Minister said: “If you go by the classical theory of the opposition, the role of the opposition is [to] oppose, expose and depose, if possible.”


Sensex sinks below 16,000 on SBI downgrade




Source :BL :Mumbai, Oct. 4: 2011



Rating agency Moody's on Tuesday downgraded the country's largest bank State Bank of India sending the bank's stock plunging to a two-year low This unnerved the broader market, already in a bear grip, and the benchmark Sensex sank below16,000.

Moody's cited the bank's capital situation and deteriorating asset quality as concerns. The bank's standalone rating, also called the Bank Financial Strength Rating (BFSR), was downgraded from ‘C-' to ‘D+'.

 “Our expectations that non-performing assets (of SBI) are likely to continue rising in the near term — due to higher interest rates and a slower economy — have caused us to adopt a negative view on SBI's creditworthiness,” said Ms Beatrice Woo, Vice-President and Senior Credit Officer, Moody's. 

Reacting, the Chairman of State Bank of India, Mr Pratip Chaudhuri said: “A rating of ‘D+' is still investment grade. Bank of Baroda, Punjab National Bank and Bank of India are also at ‘D+'. We were the only exception so far. The present rating is the same as that of the Government of India.''

As of June 30, 2011, SBI's tier-I capital ratio was 7.6 per cent, which is lower than the regulatory requirement of 8 per cent. “The level pushes the bank into a lower rating band,” said the statement from Moody's.

 “Such a level for its (SBI's) tier-1 capital ratio provides an insufficient cushion to support growth and to absorb potentially higher credit costs from its deteriorating asset quality,'' Moody's said.

 While a capital infusion by the government would restore SBI's capital ratio, the bank's efforts to secure this capital for the better part of the year demonstrate its limited ability to manage its capital, the report added. The downgrade triggered a steep intra-day fall across bourses: the Nifty and the Sensex ended the day lower by 1.6 and 1.77 per cent respectively.


 The Nifty shed 77 points to close at 4772.15 while the Sensex lost 286.59 points to close at 15864.86. At around 1 p.m., when news of the downgrade hit the market, the SBI stock fell vertically, recovering only marginally from the day's low of Rs 1751.35 to a share to close at Rs 1,787.2.

Experts view this sell-off as a pretext by short-sellers to make money.

 “The sentiment was already so bad that short sellers were waiting to hammer stocks at the slightest hint of bad news,” said Mr Kishor Ostwal, CMD, CNI Research.

 “They did it to JSW and RIL and today it was SBI. Where were they when SBI had started correcting from 3,500-levels?

“Moody's using the same yardstick that it uses for US or European banks is not right as the RBI would never allow a gross NPA level of 12.07 per cent (that they have assumed under a stress scenario) for SBI.”

Chartists said that the stock had neared its long-term support levels when it touched its two-year low.

 “Taking a fresh long-term bearish view on SBI is difficult though traders will have ample opportunities to exploit both daily and weekly bounce backs,” said Mr Rakesh Gandhi, Technical Analyst, LKP Securities. 

On Tuesday, FIIs sold net equity worth Rs 971crore while domestic institutions bought net equity worth Rs 556 crore. Retail investors on the BSE were net buyers for Rs 50 crore.

All the indices on the BSE and NSE were in the red. Volatility was up six per cent on Tuesday closing at 37.19 (up 2.12 points).

Moody’s downgrades SBI's standalone rating to ‘D+’




Source :BL:MUMBAI, OCT 4:2011




Rating agency Moody’s has downgraded State Bank of India’s financial strength rating (BFSR) or standalone rating to ‘D+’ from ‘C-’. The revised rating maps to a baseline credit assessment (BCA) of Baa3.
As a result of the lower BCA, the Hybrid debt rating was downgraded to Ba3(hyb) from Ba2(hyb).
The revised BFSR carries a stable outlook and the Hybrid rating a negative outlook.
Ratings Rationale
“The rating action considers SBI’s capital situation and deteriorating asset quality. Our expectations that non-performing assets (NPA) are likely to continue rising in the near term — due to higher interest rates and a slower economy — have caused us to adopt a negative view on SBI's creditworthiness,” says Ms Beatrice Woo, a Moody's Vice-President and Senior Credit Officer.
SBI reported a Tier 1 capital ratio of 7.60 per cent as of June 30, 2011. The level pushes the bank into a lower rating band. In addition, it was below the 8 per cent Tier 1 ratio that the Government of India has committed to maintaining in public sector banks and substantially lower than those of other ‘C-’ rated Indian banks. The latter includes banks such as Axis Bank (Ba1; C-/Baa2; stable), HDFC Bank (Ba1; C-/Baa2; stable), and ICICI Bank (Ba1; C-/Baa2; stable).
Finally, such a level for its Tier 1 capital ratio provides an insufficient cushion to support growth and to absorb potentially higher credit costs from its deteriorating asset quality.
“Notwithstanding our expectations that SBI's capital ratios will soon be restored through a capital infusion by the Government, SBI's efforts to secure this capital for the better part of the year demonstrates the bank’s limited ability to manage its capital,” says Ms Woo.
“And given that a bank's ability to freely access the capital markets is an important rating criterion globally, we therefore believe a lower BFSR for SBI is warranted, especially as these circumstances are likely to recur,” says Ms Woo.
The Rs 23,000 crore rights issue that SBI is currently seeking would raise its Tier 1 ratio to approximately 9.30 per cent. However, we estimate that capital deployed for loan growth, assuming 15 per cent per annum for the next three fiscal years, will cause the Tier 1 ratio to fall below 8 per cent, thereby necessitating another capital exercise.